Vita Coco Stock Performance

COCO Stock  USD 51.76  1.70  3.40%   
Vita Coco has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.3, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vita Coco's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vita Coco is expected to be smaller as well. Vita Coco right now has a risk of 2.8%. Please validate Vita Coco semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if Vita Coco will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vita Coco are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very inconsistent fundamental indicators, Vita Coco may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(11.43)
Five Day Return
(12.39)
Year To Date Return
(6.36)
Ten Year Return
270.27
All Time Return
270.27
1
Disposition of 1400 shares by Van Es Charles of Vita Coco subject to Rule 16b-3
12/08/2025
2
Vita Coco Company Inc. Soars to All-Time High Amid Strong Performance and Favorable Market Winds - Markets Financial Content
12/15/2025
3
McCormick Takes Majority Control in Mexico JV Growth Lever in 2026
01/06/2026
4
Vita Coco, Inc. Niche Beverage Scale Nasdaq Index
01/13/2026
5
Disposition of 00 shares by Sadowsky Kenneth of Vita Coco at 53.92 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/21/2026
6
Kenneth Sadowsky Sells 3,900 Shares of Vita Coco Stock
01/23/2026
7
2 High-Flying Stocks to Consider Right Now and 1 We Find Risky
01/26/2026
8
The Vita Coco Company to Report Full Year and Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results on February 18, 2026 and Participate in CAGNY Conference
02/04/2026
9
Disposition of 20000 shares by Ira Liran of Vita Coco at 56.66 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/05/2026
10
Vita Coco Director Sells 1,699,500.00 in Stock - MarketBeat
02/06/2026
11
Is Vita Coco Building a Quiet Moat With Its Asset-Light Hydration Platform
02/09/2026
12
Vita Coco Projected to Post Earnings on Wednesday
02/11/2026
13
Assessing Vita Coco Company Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback
02/18/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow132.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-974 K

Vita Coco Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,832  in Vita Coco on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  344.00  from holding Vita Coco or generate 7.12% return on investment over 90 days. Vita Coco is currently generating 0.1539% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.797% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Vita, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vita Coco is expected to generate 3.75 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Vita Coco Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vita Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 51.76 90 days 51.76 
about 66.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vita Coco to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 66.36 (This Vita Coco probability density function shows the probability of Vita Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vita Coco has a beta of 0.3 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Vita Coco average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vita Coco will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vita Coco has an alpha of 0.2431, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vita Coco Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vita Coco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vita Coco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vita Coco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.2051.9954.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.5455.5058.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.9151.6954.48
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
53.4958.7865.24
Details

Vita Coco Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vita Coco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vita Coco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vita Coco, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vita Coco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
3.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Vita Coco Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vita Coco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vita Coco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing Vita Coco Company Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback

Vita Coco Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vita Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vita Coco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vita Coco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments164.7 M

Vita Coco Fundamentals Growth

Vita Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vita Coco, and Vita Coco fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vita Stock performance.

About Vita Coco Performance

By examining Vita Coco's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Vita Coco's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Vita Coco is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 105.08  67.58 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.16  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.24  0.18 
Return On Assets 0.15  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.15 

Things to note about Vita Coco performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vita Coco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vita Coco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing Vita Coco Company Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback
Evaluating Vita Coco's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vita Coco's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vita Coco's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vita Coco's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vita Coco's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vita Coco's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vita Coco's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vita Coco's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vita Coco's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vita Coco's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vita Coco's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Vita Coco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vita Coco's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vita Coco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vita Coco Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vita Coco. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.
To learn how to invest in Vita Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vita Coco guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Will Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages sector continue expanding? Could Vita diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vita Coco. Projected growth potential of Vita fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Vita Coco data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.25
Earnings Share
1.15
Revenue Per Share
10.713
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.372
Return On Assets
0.1176
Understanding Vita Coco requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Vita's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Vita Coco's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Vita Coco's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Vita Coco's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Vita Coco should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Vita Coco's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.